Thursday, July 10, 2014

A Handsome Dilemma

Big money for Chandler Parsons brings big problems for the Rockets

Really should have seen this coming. After all, the Rockets have been extremely lucky when it comes to personal decisions the past two years. Between the straight up robbery trade with OKC for James Harden in 2012, then followed by the miracle signing of Dwight Howard in 2013, we fans have been living the good life. Until today. Sigh.

Funny thing is, there really isn't anyone to blame for this situation. As an NBA player, Parsons only has 10-15 years to maximize his earning potential, so reaching for the most money was a no-brainer. The Rockets declined Parsons' fourth year option on his rookie deal in order to A) free up money to chase after free agents this offseason and B) to avoid letting the 25 year old starter become a unrestricted free agent next year. While the Mavericks are doing everything possible to get Dirk another shot at a ring (and if they screw the Rockets in the process, bonus!)

I guess the question boils down to is Chandler Parsons worth the money? Let's check the numbers:


Season Age FG FGA FG% 3P 3PA 3P% 2P 2PA 2P% FT FTA FT% ORB DRB TRB AST STL PTS
2011-12 23 3.9 8.7 .452 1.0 2.8 .337 3.0 5.9 .507 0.7 1.2 .551 1.4 3.3 4.8 2.1 1.2 9.5
2012-13 24 6.0 12.4 .486 2.0 5.2 .385 4.0 7.2 .559 1.5 2.0 .729 1.0 4.3 5.3 3.5 1.0 15.5
2013-14 25 6.3 13.3 .472 1.8 4.7 .370 4.5 8.6 .528 2.2 3.0 .742 0.9 4.6 5.5 4.0 1.2 16.6
Career 5.5 11.6 .473 1.6 4.3 .370 3.9 7.3 .534 1.5 2.1 .705 1.1 4.1 5.2 3.3 1.1 14.1

Seems ridiculous huh? Paying a guy who averages 14 and 5 over 15 million a year? Well, time to look at a different set of numbers...


Salary
Rk Player Tm 2014-15 ▾
1 Kobe Bryant LAL $23,500,000
2 Amar'e Stoudemire NYK $23,410,988
3 Joe Johnson BRK $23,180,790
4 Dwight Howard HOU $21,436,271
5 Chris Paul LAC $20,068,563
6 Deron Williams BRK $19,754,465
7 Rudy Gay SAC $19,317,325
8 Kevin Durant OKC $18,995,624
9 Derrick Rose CHI $18,862,875
10 Blake Griffin LAC $17,674,612
11 Carlos Boozer CHI $16,800,000
12 Zach Randolph MEM $16,500,000
13 LaMarcus Aldridge POR $16,006,000
14 Marc Gasol MEM $15,829,688
15 Brook Lopez BRK $15,719,063
16 Russell Westbrook OKC $15,719,062
17 Kevin Love MIN $15,719,062
18 David Lee GSW $15,012,000
19 Eric Gordon NOP $14,898,938
20 Roy Hibbert IND $14,898,938
21 James Harden HOU $14,728,844
22 Tyson Chandler DAL $14,598,888
23 John Wall WAS $13,701,250
24 DeMarcus Cousins SAC $13,701,250
25 Paul George IND $13,701,250
26 Al Jefferson CHA $13,666,667
27 Josh Smith DET $13,500,000
28 Nene Hilario WAS $13,000,000
29 Andrew Bogut GSW $12,972,973
30 Rajon Rondo BOS $12,909,091
31 Derrick Favors UTA $12,833,333
32 Tony Parker SAS $12,500,000
33 Serge Ibaka OKC $12,350,000
34 Andre Iguodala GSW $12,289,544
35 Joakim Noah CHI $12,200,000
36 Nikola Pekovic MIN $12,100,000
37 David West IND $12,000,000
38 Kevin Garnett BRK $12,000,000
39 Al Horford ATL $12,000,000
40 Nicolas Batum POR $11,765,500
41 Ty Lawson DEN $11,595,506
42 Andrea Bargnani NYK $11,500,000
43 DeAndre Jordan LAC $11,440,124
44 JaVale McGee DEN $11,250,000
45 Larry Sanders MIL $11,000,000
46 Danilo Gallinari DEN $10,854,850
47 Tyreke Evans NOP $10,763,500
48 Stephen Curry GSW $10,629,213
49 Gerald Wallace BOS $10,105,855
50 Tim Duncan SAS $10,000,000

Now those numbers tell a completely different story. You would much rather pay an up-and-comer like Parsons than retreads like Rudy Gay, Tyson Chandler, or Andre Bogut. Or talented knuckleheads like Josh Smith, DeAndre Jordan, JaVale McGee, or Larry Sanders. And while Derrick Rose and Russell Westbrook are obviously more talented, do you really trust them to stay upright for 82 regular season games plus playoffs? I don't.

Last set of numbers, I promise you. Last Wednesday, the NBA announced that the salary cap and the luxury tax threshold for the upcoming year will be at all-time highs. More money in the pot equals bigger contracts for the middle class of free agents. $46 million over 3 years (with a player op-out after year 2) may seem like an overpay now, but trust me it could have been much, much worse.

Is Chandler Parsons a great player? No not yet, but he definitely has room to grow into an All-Star and third best player on a team with champion aspirations. He's worth the contract and the Rockets should not hesitate to match the offer. And besides....













How can you say no to that face?

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